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Red100
801627.4
64951.3
348220.1
Blue111
107234.1
318926.8
84124.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9050020406080100120140160100111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#10
51.30.2
50.851.0
Auto9.3
Teleop39.8
End1.4
red by 17.2
34.12.1
29.932.0
Auto6.9
Teleop28.0
End-0.4
Second
8016
#45
27.40.2
27.828.0
Auto2.9
Teleop23.8
End1.0
red by 0.6
3189
#30
26.82.1
23.125.2
Auto6.9
Teleop18.8
End1.1
Third
3482
#11
20.10.2
18.118.4
Auto2.0
Teleop18.1
End0.1
blue by 4.8
841
#26
24.92.1
21.623.7
Auto1.9
Teleop24.1
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
33%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsEarned