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Red89
64951.3
713725.0
464313.9
Blue97
84654.2
264318.7
385928.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions748340601001208997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#10
51.30.0
51.051.0
Auto9.3
Teleop39.8
End1.4
blue by 2.9
846
#4
54.20.7
56.555.8
Auto9.8
Teleop46.1
End-2.3
Second
7137
#21
25.00.0
23.523.5
Auto5.7
Teleop16.8
End2.5
blue by 3.7
3859
#37
28.80.7
29.428.7
Auto7.9
Teleop18.4
End2.6
Third
4643
#35
13.90.0
14.414.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 4.8
2643
#41
18.70.7
22.121.3
Auto3.8
Teleop15.9
End-0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed26%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsMissed