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Red95
84124.9
7419B22.3
741923.1
Blue90
5924B25.8
255144.9
385928.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions388902060801001201401609590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#26
24.91.6
23.324.9
Auto1.9
Teleop24.1
End-0.8
blue by 20.0
2551
#19
44.91.3
45.043.7
Auto8.1
Teleop34.4
End2.0
Second
7419
#24
23.11.6
22.023.6
Auto5.3
Teleop16.9
End1.0
blue by 5.7
3859
#37
28.81.3
28.727.3
Auto7.9
Teleop18.4
End2.6
Third
22.32.5
20.222.7
Auto4.0
Teleop19.9
End-1.2
blue by 3.5
25.82.1
26.424.3
Auto2.1
Teleop24.8
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed33%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsMissed