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Red166
603661.1
418620.0
58167.1
Blue143
803342.3
84651.6
84125.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12092050150200166143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#1
67.10.4
66.767.1
Auto11.6
Teleop56.6
End-1.3
red by 15.6
846
#9
51.60.6
51.051.6
Auto7.9
Teleop45.6
End-2.6
Second
6036
#10
61.10.4
60.661.1
Auto11.9
Teleop48.1
End-1.2
red by 18.8
8033
#13
42.30.6
41.742.3
Auto8.4
Teleop34.1
End-0.9
Third
4186
#30
20.00.4
19.620.0
Auto5.3
Teleop15.0
End0.2
blue by 5.9
841
#33
25.90.6
25.425.9
Auto3.2
Teleop21.1
End1.9