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Red90
940017.0
10044.1
84031.4
Blue123
186853.1
58167.1
170039.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54137010015020090123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
#6
44.10.9
29.230.1
Auto9.6
Teleop32.8
End1.6
blue by 23.0
581
#1
67.11.7
62.660.9
Auto11.6
Teleop56.6
End-1.3
Second
840
#17
31.40.9
24.125.0
Auto6.0
Teleop25.6
End-0.1
blue by 21.7
53.11.7
49.447.7
Auto13.3
Teleop40.3
End-1.4
Third
9400
#19
17.01.5
17.819.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop19.3
End-1.7
blue by 22.2
1700
#11
39.21.7
36.234.6
Auto6.0
Teleop33.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed78%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
46%Activation oddsMissed79%Activation oddsMissed