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Qual 192023 CalGames
Red104
696233.5
325625.2
502715.6
Blue65
264324.8
641824.6
911416.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585430405070809010010465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6962
#3
33.52.6
25.3→27.9
Auto4.4
Teleop27.5
End1.5
red by 8.7
2643
#14
24.80.4
21.3→21.7
Auto4.1
Teleop19.6
End1.3
Second
3256
#15
25.22.3
26.0→28.3
Auto6.7
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 0.6
6418
#27
24.60.4
27.3→27.7
Auto5.7
Teleop18.8
End0.2
Third
5027
#20
15.62.3
13.0→15.3
Auto2.3
Teleop12.4
End1.0
blue by 1.2
9114
#34
16.90.4
10.4→10.8
Auto2.2
Teleop14.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned19%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned50%Activation oddsMissed