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Red97
186853.1
304521.0
502715.6
Blue63
418620.0
25314.6
840430.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7067204060801009763

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.3
47.748.0
Auto13.3
Teleop40.3
End-1.4
red by 22.2
8404
#28
30.90.7
41.841.1
Auto6.9
Teleop23.1
End1.0
Second
3045
#25
21.00.3
19.920.1
Auto1.9
Teleop18.6
End0.8
red by 1.0
4186
#30
20.00.7
17.616.9
Auto5.3
Teleop15.0
End0.2
Third
5027
#20
15.60.3
15.315.6
Auto2.3
Teleop12.4
End1.0
red by 1.0
253
#39
14.60.7
14.013.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.5
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned28%Activation oddsEarned