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Red124
11540.1
84651.6
248932.3
Blue117
170039.2
264324.8
803342.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10088050150124117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#9
51.60.6
43.844.3
Auto7.9
Teleop45.6
End-2.6
red by 9.3
8033
#13
42.31.0
45.346.3
Auto8.4
Teleop34.1
End-0.9
Second
115
#7
40.10.6
41.041.5
Auto5.4
Teleop35.9
End-1.3
red by 0.9
1700
#11
39.21.0
34.635.6
Auto6.0
Teleop33.3
End0.2
Third
32.30.6
30.931.5
Auto3.9
Teleop27.6
End1.0
red by 7.5
2643
#14
24.81.0
21.722.7
Auto4.1
Teleop19.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
37%Sustainability oddsEarned55%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned55%Activation oddsEarned