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Red37
19915.4
247322.6
25314.6
Blue88
940017.0
107234.0
264324.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4356020803788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2473
#32
22.60.9
22.521.6
Auto4.7
Teleop17.4
End0.5
blue by 11.4
1072
#21
34.00.6
31.532.1
Auto7.2
Teleop25.4
End1.5
Second
199
#42
15.40.9
15.414.5
Auto3.0
Teleop11.0
End1.6
blue by 9.4
2643
#14
24.80.6
24.224.8
Auto4.1
Teleop19.6
End1.3
Third
253
#39
14.60.9
12.611.7
Auto5.3
Teleop9.5
End-0.0
blue by 2.4
9400
#19
17.01.0
18.219.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop19.3
End-1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsMissed73%Activation oddsEarned