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Red55
490418.3
47655.3
499026.1
Blue102
502715.6
248932.3
170039.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338005010015020055102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4990
#26
26.10.2
21.822.0
Auto3.4
Teleop22.9
End0.0
blue by 13.1
1700
#11
39.20.9
34.935.8
Auto6.0
Teleop33.3
End0.2
Second
4904
#37
18.30.2
18.118.3
Auto5.7
Teleop11.9
End0.8
blue by 14.1
32.30.9
30.931.8
Auto3.9
Teleop27.6
End1.0
Third
4765
#41
5.30.2
12.212.4
Auto-0.9
Teleop4.9
End1.5
blue by 10.3
5027
#20
15.60.9
16.417.4
Auto2.3
Teleop12.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed39%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
37%Activation oddsMissed41%Activation oddsEarned