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Red87
84651.6
54306.9
541930.0
Blue124
911416.9
325625.2
10044.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5767020408010012087124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#9
51.60.3
45.244.9
Auto7.9
Teleop45.6
End-2.6
red by 7.4
100
#6
44.13.2
35.338.4
Auto9.6
Teleop32.8
End1.6
Second
5419
#38
30.00.3
28.828.5
Auto4.2
Teleop28.7
End-1.8
red by 4.8
3256
#15
25.23.2
28.231.4
Auto6.7
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Third
5430
#40
6.90.3
7.37.0
Auto2.3
Teleop4.0
End0.7
blue by 10.0
9114
#34
16.93.2
13.116.3
Auto2.2
Teleop14.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
26%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
56%Activation oddsMissed37%Activation oddsEarned