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Red113
281324.3
67046.3
170039.2
Blue140
58167.1
264324.8
84031.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8998050150200113140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
670
#8
46.30.4
44.544.9
Auto6.4
Teleop39.2
End0.6
blue by 20.8
581
#1
67.11.2
63.064.2
Auto11.6
Teleop56.6
End-1.3
Second
1700
#11
39.20.4
38.538.9
Auto6.0
Teleop33.3
End0.2
red by 7.8
840
#17
31.41.2
29.730.9
Auto6.0
Teleop25.6
End-0.1
Third
2813
#35
24.30.4
23.924.3
Auto5.0
Teleop17.7
End1.8
blue by 0.5
2643
#14
24.81.2
24.525.7
Auto4.1
Teleop19.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
69%Sustainability oddsEarned80%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned