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Red154
84125.9
84651.6
803342.3
Blue139
10044.1
67046.3
76640.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89114050150200250154139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#9
51.60.5
49.850.3
Auto7.9
Teleop45.6
End-2.6
red by 5.3
670
#8
46.30.2
46.146.3
Auto6.4
Teleop39.2
End0.6
Second
8033
#13
42.30.5
40.541.0
Auto8.4
Teleop34.1
End-0.9
blue by 1.9
100
#6
44.10.2
43.944.1
Auto9.6
Teleop32.8
End1.6
Third
841
#33
25.90.5
24.124.7
Auto3.2
Teleop21.1
End1.9
blue by 14.1
766
#16
40.00.2
39.840.0
Auto6.4
Teleop33.4
End0.1