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Red100
842.7
490418.3
186853.1
Blue124
107234.0
804837.1
84031.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10377050150200100124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.5
53.553.1
Auto13.3
Teleop40.3
End-1.4
red by 16.0
8048
#12
37.10.4
36.637.0
Auto7.1
Teleop27.7
End2.3
Second
8
#2
42.70.5
43.142.7
Auto8.6
Teleop32.6
End1.8
red by 8.7
1072
#21
34.00.4
33.533.9
Auto7.2
Teleop25.4
End1.5
Third
4904
#37
18.30.5
18.618.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.9
End0.8
blue by 13.2
840
#17
31.40.4
30.931.3
Auto6.0
Teleop25.6
End-0.1