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Red154
318921.0
167870.0
25470.2
Blue101
545825.8
255143.7
541947.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177118100150200250154101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
70.20.1
70.370.2
Auto17.7
Teleop42.1
End10.0
red by 23.1
47.10.4
47.547.1
Auto11.6
Teleop27.5
End8.2
Second
70.00.1
70.170.0
Auto16.0
Teleop44.7
End9.3
red by 26.3
43.70.4
44.143.7
Auto10.6
Teleop25.7
End7.4
Third
3189
#20
21.00.1
21.121.0
Auto6.6
Teleop9.0
End5.0
blue by 4.9
5458
#25
25.80.5
26.325.8
Auto7.5
Teleop10.6
End8.0