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Qual 162023 Sacramento Regional
Red69
740111.0
502640.7
203516.3
Blue117
220425.3
263731.0
248924.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71652040608010012069117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5026
#5
40.70.1
34.9→34.7
Auto9.9
Teleop23.0
End7.8
red by 9.7
2637
#7
31.03.4
23.9→27.3
Auto7.0
Teleop16.2
End7.8
Second
2035
#33
16.30.2
15.0→14.8
Auto3.9
Teleop8.8
End3.6
blue by 9.0
2204
#21
25.35.6
19.6→25.2
Auto7.0
Teleop12.1
End6.2
Third
7401
#39
11.00.2
15.8→15.6
Auto2.9
Teleop2.8
End5.3
blue by 13.8
2489
#9
24.85.6
18.2→23.7
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned45%Activation oddsEarned