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Qual 232023 Sacramento Regional
Red87
911413.8
752816.6
107235.5
Blue67
809116.7
876831.9
464319.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions745702040801001201408767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1072
#11
35.51.0
32.0→33.0
Auto11.6
Teleop15.3
End8.5
red by 3.6
8768
#17
31.90.4
22.2→22.7
Auto9.3
Teleop14.1
End8.5
Second
7528
#36
16.61.7
22.4→24.1
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End3.7
blue by 2.8
4643
#45
19.40.7
17.8→18.5
Auto3.9
Teleop11.9
End3.7
Third
9114
#35
13.81.0
12.6→13.6
Auto2.2
Teleop7.4
End4.2
blue by 2.9
8091
#34
16.70.7
15.8→16.5
Auto1.8
Teleop9.3
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsEarned