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Qual 252023 Sacramento Regional
Red111
502640.7
145822.7
166225.5
Blue61
661922.7
236721.0
768614.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8358204010012014016011161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5026
#5
40.71.8
34.7→36.5
Auto9.9
Teleop23.0
End7.8
red by 18.0
6619
#28
22.70.1
22.1→22.0
Auto8.2
Teleop10.7
End3.8
Second
1662
#38
25.52.9
23.9→26.8
Auto9.9
Teleop7.9
End7.6
red by 4.5
2367
#40
21.00.1
20.1→20.0
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End7.1
Third
1458
#23
22.72.9
16.1→19.0
Auto5.8
Teleop10.6
End6.2
red by 7.9
7686
#46
14.90.1
15.1→15.0
Auto3.9
Teleop7.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned55%Activation oddsMissed