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Red56
545825.8
19918.3
572821.4
Blue119
167870.0
228827.8
248924.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58132010015020056119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5458
#25
25.80.9
23.522.6
Auto7.5
Teleop10.6
End8.0
blue by 44.2
70.00.1
67.867.7
Auto16.0
Teleop44.7
End9.3
Second
5728
#26
21.40.9
21.921.0
Auto7.8
Teleop6.8
End6.9
blue by 6.3
2288
#13
27.80.1
24.224.2
Auto6.6
Teleop14.8
End6.3
Third
199
#37
18.30.9
18.717.8
Auto2.0
Teleop9.0
End7.3
blue by 6.6
24.80.1
22.822.7
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed55%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned