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Qual 362023 Sacramento Regional
Red85
75119.2
236721.0
359825.8
Blue113
879337.3
694129.3
145822.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6680406010012014085113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3598
#43
25.80.4
24.3→24.8
Auto10.7
Teleop10.5
End4.6
blue by 11.6
8793
#10
37.32.3
31.4→33.7
Auto10.0
Teleop20.8
End6.5
Second
2367
#40
21.00.7
20.0→20.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End7.1
blue by 8.3
6941
#31
29.33.8
23.2→27.0
Auto13.2
Teleop11.1
End5.1
Third
751
#42
19.20.7
19.2→19.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.8
End5.8
blue by 3.5
1458
#23
22.73.8
19.0→22.8
Auto5.8
Teleop10.6
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
32%Activation oddsEarned26%Activation oddsEarned