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Red107
107235.5
879337.3
698114.8
Blue86
166225.5
572821.4
694129.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82835060709010011012010786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8793
#10
37.31.9
33.735.6
Auto10.0
Teleop20.8
End6.5
red by 8.0
6941
#31
29.30.0
27.027.0
Auto13.2
Teleop11.1
End5.1
Second
1072
#11
35.51.9
32.934.8
Auto11.6
Teleop15.3
End8.5
red by 10.0
1662
#38
25.50.0
26.126.1
Auto9.9
Teleop7.9
End7.6
Third
6981
#30
14.83.1
12.115.2
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End6.7
blue by 6.6
5728
#26
21.40.0
22.522.6
Auto7.8
Teleop6.8
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsEarned