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Red131
502640.7
464319.4
879337.3
Blue135
70116.6
167870.0
325732.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90119406080100140160180131135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.72.9
36.739.6
Auto9.9
Teleop23.0
End7.8
blue by 29.3
70.01.8
68.370.1
Auto16.0
Teleop44.7
End9.3
Second
8793
#10
37.32.9
35.638.5
Auto10.0
Teleop20.8
End6.5
red by 5.3
3257
#18
32.03.0
22.625.6
Auto6.2
Teleop20.7
End5.0
Third
4643
#45
19.44.8
15.920.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.9
End3.7
red by 2.8
701
#29
16.61.8
17.419.2
Auto5.8
Teleop5.8
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned44%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned