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Red124
541947.1
228827.8
876831.9
Blue86
415931.6
145822.7
359825.8
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10776406010012014016012486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.11.2
46.547.7
Auto11.6
Teleop27.5
End8.2
red by 15.5
4159
#12
31.60.7
30.030.7
Auto8.3
Teleop17.8
End5.5
Second
8768
#17
31.91.2
26.627.7
Auto9.3
Teleop14.1
End8.5
red by 6.1
3598
#43
25.80.7
23.424.1
Auto10.7
Teleop10.5
End4.6
Third
2288
#13
27.81.2
23.524.6
Auto6.6
Teleop14.8
End6.3
red by 5.0
1458
#23
22.71.2
22.023.2
Auto5.8
Teleop10.6
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
47%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned36%Activation oddsEarned