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Red102
879337.3
666227.1
876831.9
Blue113
348218.4
203516.3
167870.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9212350150200102113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8793
#10
37.30.8
38.539.2
Auto10.0
Teleop20.8
End6.5
blue by 32.7
70.01.2
70.168.9
Auto16.0
Teleop44.7
End9.3
Second
8768
#17
31.90.8
27.728.5
Auto9.3
Teleop14.1
End8.5
red by 13.4
3482
#44
18.41.9
21.819.9
Auto4.7
Teleop11.1
End2.7
Third
6662
#22
27.10.8
24.224.9
Auto8.5
Teleop10.9
End7.7
red by 10.8
2035
#33
16.31.9
19.417.5
Auto3.9
Teleop8.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsEarned57%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsMissed