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Qual 592023 Sacramento Regional
Red74
502640.7
698114.8
694129.3
Blue94
350121.8
541947.1
809116.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86880501001502002507494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5026
#5
40.70.5
39.6→39.1
Auto9.9
Teleop23.0
End7.8
blue by 6.4
5419
#3
47.10.8
47.7→48.5
Auto11.6
Teleop27.5
End8.2
Second
6941
#31
29.30.8
28.7→27.9
Auto13.2
Teleop11.1
End5.1
red by 7.5
3501
#16
21.80.8
19.3→20.1
Auto7.8
Teleop4.1
End9.9
Third
6981
#30
14.80.8
13.0→12.2
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End6.7
blue by 1.9
8091
#34
16.71.2
15.7→16.8
Auto1.8
Teleop9.3
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned