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Qual 642023 Sacramento Regional
Red92
415931.6
698114.8
666227.1
Blue79
740111.0
464319.4
545825.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7657020401001201409279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4159
#12
31.61.2
31.5→32.7
Auto8.3
Teleop17.8
End5.5
red by 5.8
5458
#25
25.81.8
27.1→28.9
Auto7.5
Teleop10.6
End8.0
Second
6662
#22
27.11.2
24.9→26.2
Auto8.5
Teleop10.9
End7.7
red by 7.7
4643
#45
19.41.7
19.5→21.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.9
End3.7
Third
6981
#30
14.81.8
12.2→14.0
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End6.7
red by 3.8
7401
#39
11.01.8
9.6→11.4
Auto2.9
Teleop2.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsEarned