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Red85
661922.7
166225.5
879337.3
Blue114
766726.5
255143.7
876831.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921015015020085114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8793
#10
37.30.1
39.239.1
Auto10.0
Teleop20.8
End6.5
blue by 6.3
43.71.4
42.043.4
Auto10.6
Teleop25.7
End7.4
Second
1662
#38
25.50.2
26.125.9
Auto9.9
Teleop7.9
End7.6
blue by 6.4
8768
#17
31.91.4
28.529.9
Auto9.3
Teleop14.1
End8.5
Third
6619
#28
22.70.1
21.721.5
Auto8.2
Teleop10.7
End3.8
blue by 3.8
7667
#15
26.52.0
22.624.7
Auto8.8
Teleop14.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsEarned