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Qual 732023 Sacramento Regional
Red102
666227.1
255143.7
25323.4
Blue108
413531.3
228827.8
502640.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions971046080120140160102108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2551
#4
43.70.7
43.4→44.1
Auto10.6
Teleop25.7
End7.4
red by 3.0
5026
#5
40.70.7
41.3→42.0
Auto9.9
Teleop23.0
End7.8
Second
6662
#22
27.10.7
26.2→26.8
Auto8.5
Teleop10.9
End7.7
blue by 4.2
4135
#19
31.30.7
29.1→29.9
Auto8.3
Teleop16.0
End7.0
Third
253
#41
23.40.9
22.5→23.4
Auto8.4
Teleop8.9
End6.1
blue by 4.4
2288
#13
27.80.7
26.4→27.1
Auto6.6
Teleop14.8
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsMissed29%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned