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Qual 92023 Sacramento Regional
Red56
464319.4
325732.0
203516.3
Blue101
570028.5
348218.4
694129.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616630405070809010056101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3257
#18
32.02.5
20.5→18.0
Auto6.2
Teleop20.7
End5.0
red by 2.7
6941
#31
29.32.2
20.0→22.2
Auto13.2
Teleop11.1
End5.1
Second
4643
#45
19.42.5
20.3→17.8
Auto3.9
Teleop11.9
End3.7
blue by 9.0
5700
#27
28.51.5
20.9→22.3
Auto9.4
Teleop13.5
End5.6
Third
2035
#33
16.32.5
17.4→15.0
Auto3.9
Teleop8.8
End3.6
blue by 2.1
3482
#44
18.42.2
20.3→22.5
Auto4.7
Teleop11.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsMissed22%Activation oddsMissed