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Red134
541947.1
255143.7
545825.8
Blue119
876831.9
527435.1
413531.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13199050150200134119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.10.3
47.648.0
Auto11.6
Teleop27.5
End8.2
red by 11.9
35.10.4
34.835.1
Auto9.5
Teleop17.7
End7.9
Second
43.70.3
44.244.6
Auto10.6
Teleop25.7
End7.4
red by 11.8
8768
#17
31.90.4
31.531.9
Auto9.3
Teleop14.1
End8.5
Third
5458
#25
25.80.4
26.426.9
Auto7.5
Teleop10.6
End8.0
blue by 5.5
4135
#19
31.30.4
30.931.3
Auto8.3
Teleop16.0
End7.0