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Red126
879337.3
570028.5
502640.7
Blue123
876831.9
527435.1
413531.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1209750150200126123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.4
42.042.4
Auto9.9
Teleop23.0
End7.8
red by 5.6
35.10.6
33.734.3
Auto9.5
Teleop17.7
End7.9
Second
8793
#10
37.30.4
38.639.0
Auto10.0
Teleop20.8
End6.5
red by 5.5
8768
#17
31.90.6
30.431.1
Auto9.3
Teleop14.1
End8.5
Third
5700
#27
28.50.4
29.429.7
Auto9.4
Teleop13.5
End5.6
blue by 2.9
4135
#19
31.30.6
29.930.5
Auto8.3
Teleop16.0
End7.0