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Red100
248924.8
713730.1
666227.1
Blue124
876831.9
527435.1
413531.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions831054060120140160180100124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7137
#14
30.10.4
29.730.1
Auto9.6
Teleop13.2
End7.3
blue by 5.0
35.10.6
34.335.0
Auto9.5
Teleop17.7
End7.9
Second
6662
#22
27.10.4
26.727.1
Auto8.5
Teleop10.9
End7.7
blue by 4.7
8768
#17
31.90.6
31.131.7
Auto9.3
Teleop14.1
End8.5
Third
24.80.5
24.324.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End7.9
blue by 6.5
4135
#19
31.30.6
30.531.1
Auto8.3
Teleop16.0
End7.0