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Red0
541947.1
255143.7
545825.8
Blue82
502640.7
570028.5
879337.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128117050100150200250082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5419
#3DQ
47.10.2
47.547.7
Auto11.6
Teleop27.5
End8.2
red by 6.4
40.70.8
42.441.6
Auto9.9
Teleop23.0
End7.8
Second
2551
#4DQ
43.70.2
44.144.3
Auto10.6
Teleop25.7
End7.4
red by 6.3
8793
#10
37.30.8
39.038.2
Auto10.0
Teleop20.8
End6.5
Third
5458
#25DQ
25.80.3
26.326.5
Auto7.5
Teleop10.6
End8.0
blue by 2.6
5700
#27
28.50.8
29.729.0
Auto9.4
Teleop13.5
End5.6