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Red165
665722.8
97353.6
132365.2
Blue92
167148.4
803340.4
510419.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1561115010020016592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.20.4
64.865.2
Auto16.5
Teleop41.4
End7.4
red by 16.9
48.40.5
48.948.4
Auto13.3
Teleop26.4
End8.7
Second
973
#2
53.60.4
53.253.6
Auto13.6
Teleop32.3
End7.7
red by 13.2
40.40.5
40.940.4
Auto8.4
Teleop23.9
End8.0
Third
6657
#24
22.80.4
22.322.8
Auto8.0
Teleop12.2
End2.5
red by 3.1
5104
#36
19.70.5
20.219.7
Auto6.7
Teleop6.6
End6.4