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Red107
777718.2
473840.1
804838.6
Blue64
510419.7
682221.8
666218.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686020408010012010764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.14.4
25.930.3
Auto11.6
Teleop22.7
End5.9
red by 18.3
6822
#23
21.83.1
14.110.9
Auto8.9
Teleop6.2
End6.7
Second
38.64.4
23.127.5
Auto11.8
Teleop18.3
End8.4
red by 18.9
5104
#36
19.73.1
26.323.1
Auto6.7
Teleop6.6
End6.4
Third
7777
#21
18.24.4
13.517.9
Auto2.6
Teleop8.9
End6.7
blue by 0.5
6662
#27
18.73.1
16.813.6
Auto6.4
Teleop6.9
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned27%Activation oddsMissed