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Red77
682221.8
623817.5
10029.2
Blue115
502629.5
255136.8
666218.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63625070809010011077115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
#12
29.21.5
23.424.8
Auto9.4
Teleop10.8
End9.1
blue by 7.7
2551
#10
36.84.6
26.631.2
Auto10.4
Teleop18.7
End7.7
Second
6822
#23
21.81.5
10.912.4
Auto8.9
Teleop6.2
End6.7
blue by 7.7
5026
#22
29.54.6
18.322.9
Auto8.0
Teleop16.1
End5.4
Third
6238
#33
17.51.5
24.626.0
Auto6.6
Teleop7.5
End3.4
blue by 1.2
6662
#27
18.74.6
13.618.3
Auto6.4
Teleop6.9
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned22%Activation oddsEarned