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Red125
132365.2
318911.2
97353.6
Blue121
876825.2
167148.4
804838.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13797406080120160180200125121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.20.9
57.957.0
Auto16.5
Teleop41.4
End7.4
red by 16.9
48.42.8
39.642.4
Auto13.3
Teleop26.4
End8.7
Second
973
#2
53.60.5
53.452.8
Auto13.6
Teleop32.3
End7.7
red by 15.0
38.62.8
31.934.7
Auto11.8
Teleop18.3
End8.4
Third
3189
#38
11.20.9
11.911.0
Auto6.4
Teleop1.9
End2.9
blue by 14.0
8768
#14
25.22.8
24.327.1
Auto10.3
Teleop7.1
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
41%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned