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Red106
666218.7
473840.1
803340.4
Blue53
630521.2
854617.1
691819.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions965102040608012014016010653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.42.4
34.036.4
Auto8.4
Teleop23.9
End8.0
red by 19.2
6305
#15
21.20.6
23.522.9
Auto7.5
Teleop10.2
End3.5
Second
40.12.4
30.733.2
Auto11.6
Teleop22.7
End5.9
red by 20.5
6918
#35
19.60.6
14.213.6
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End7.1
Third
6662
#27
18.72.4
19.521.9
Auto6.4
Teleop6.9
End5.4
red by 1.6
8546
#32
17.10.6
16.015.4
Auto1.3
Teleop8.6
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsMissed