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Red100
247318.0
804838.6
803340.4
Blue85
114831.3
10029.2
440030.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9981406012014016018010085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.40.4
36.937.3
Auto8.4
Teleop23.9
End8.0
red by 9.1
31.30.7
25.025.7
Auto7.1
Teleop14.5
End9.7
Second
38.60.4
39.740.2
Auto11.8
Teleop18.3
End8.4
red by 8.3
4400
#19
30.30.7
26.627.3
Auto7.5
Teleop16.2
End6.6
Third
2473
#34
18.00.4
14.214.7
Auto7.7
Teleop5.0
End5.3
blue by 11.2
100
#12
29.20.7
26.727.4
Auto9.4
Teleop10.8
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned