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Red114
10029.2
247318.0
594052.4
Blue121
182818.8
67037.2
803340.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93102406080120140160180114121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.42.4
46.749.1
Auto15.5
Teleop29.6
End7.4
red by 12.0
40.42.1
37.339.3
Auto8.4
Teleop23.9
End8.0
Second
100
#12
29.22.4
27.429.8
Auto9.4
Teleop10.8
End9.1
blue by 8.0
670
#6
37.22.1
40.042.0
Auto9.2
Teleop22.6
End5.4
Third
2473
#34
18.02.4
14.717.1
Auto7.7
Teleop5.0
End5.3
blue by 0.8
1828
#31
18.81.4
17.318.8
Auto3.8
Teleop8.5
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed47%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned