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Red146
114831.3
132365.2
502629.5
Blue64
665722.8
255136.8
671112.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12678406010014016018014664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.23.0
61.164.2
Auto16.5
Teleop41.4
End7.4
red by 28.4
2551
#10
36.81.3
40.439.0
Auto10.4
Teleop18.7
End7.7
Second
31.33.0
27.430.4
Auto7.1
Teleop14.5
End9.7
red by 8.6
6657
#24
22.81.3
25.023.7
Auto8.0
Teleop12.2
End2.5
Third
5026
#22
29.53.0
23.226.3
Auto8.0
Teleop16.1
End5.4
red by 17.3
6711
#29
12.21.3
13.612.3
Auto4.8
Teleop2.2
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned50%Activation oddsMissed