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Red95
84015.6
826218.7
167148.4
Blue79
803340.4
777718.2
10029.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83982040601201401609579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.40.8
47.448.3
Auto13.3
Teleop26.4
End8.7
red by 8.0
40.40.9
41.440.5
Auto8.4
Teleop23.9
End8.0
Second
8262
#18
18.70.8
18.119.0
Auto6.1
Teleop7.1
End5.5
blue by 10.5
100
#12
29.20.9
29.328.4
Auto9.4
Teleop10.8
End9.1
Third
840
#30
15.60.8
14.215.0
Auto4.8
Teleop5.0
End5.8
blue by 2.6
7777
#21
18.20.9
19.218.3
Auto2.6
Teleop8.9
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed22%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned