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Red80
854617.1
826218.7
803340.4
Blue82
213521.0
804838.6
255136.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801102040601001201401601808082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.40.3
40.540.2
Auto8.4
Teleop23.9
End8.0
red by 1.8
38.61.7
39.637.9
Auto11.8
Teleop18.3
End8.4
Second
8262
#18
18.70.3
19.018.7
Auto6.1
Teleop7.1
End5.5
blue by 18.1
2551
#10
36.81.7
38.136.4
Auto10.4
Teleop18.7
End7.7
Third
8546
#32
17.10.3
19.419.1
Auto1.3
Teleop8.6
End7.2
blue by 3.9
2135
#37
21.01.7
22.020.3
Auto2.6
Teleop10.0
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned