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Red52
665722.8
630521.2
682221.8
Blue160
473840.1
10029.2
132365.2
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59154010020052160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6657
#24
22.81.2
23.222.1
Auto8.0
Teleop12.2
End2.5
blue by 42.5
65.21.3
63.264.5
Auto16.5
Teleop41.4
End7.4
Second
6822
#23
21.81.2
23.021.8
Auto8.9
Teleop6.2
End6.7
blue by 18.3
40.11.3
40.842.1
Auto11.6
Teleop22.7
End5.9
Third
6305
#15
21.21.2
21.520.4
Auto7.5
Teleop10.2
End3.5
blue by 8.0
100
#12
29.21.3
28.429.7
Auto9.4
Teleop10.8
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed44%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
54%Activation oddsMissed94%Activation oddsEarned