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Red43
182818.8
691819.6
213521.0
Blue107
114831.3
167148.4
665722.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions606720408010012043107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2135
#37
21.01.6
24.823.2
Auto2.6
Teleop10.0
End8.4
blue by 27.4
48.44.5
23.928.3
Auto13.3
Teleop26.4
End8.7
Second
6918
#35
19.61.6
17.015.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End7.1
blue by 11.7
31.34.5
17.321.8
Auto7.1
Teleop14.5
End9.7
Third
1828
#31
18.81.0
15.514.5
Auto3.8
Teleop8.5
End6.4
blue by 4.0
6657
#24
22.84.5
20.725.1
Auto8.0
Teleop12.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
34%Activation oddsMissed39%Activation oddsEarned