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Red137
665722.8
97353.6
132365.2
Blue51
10029.2
581720.8
623817.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16360010015020013751

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.20.1
64.564.5
Auto16.5
Teleop41.4
End7.4
red by 36.1
100
#12
29.20.4
29.729.3
Auto9.4
Teleop10.8
End9.1
Second
973
#2
53.60.1
52.952.8
Auto13.6
Teleop32.3
End7.7
red by 32.8
5817
#26
20.80.4
21.320.9
Auto3.9
Teleop8.3
End8.6
Third
6657
#24
22.80.1
22.122.0
Auto8.0
Teleop12.2
End2.5
red by 5.3
6238
#33
17.50.4
18.017.6
Auto6.6
Teleop7.5
End3.4