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Red113
145217.7
258443.5
166129.4
Blue88
889819.1
114840.5
115920.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6867020408010012014016011388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.51.9
32.033.9
Auto11.6
Teleop27.3
End4.6
red by 3.0
40.50.5
32.132.6
Auto12.3
Teleop18.7
End9.5
Second
1661
#10
29.41.9
21.923.8
Auto9.4
Teleop13.6
End6.4
red by 9.1
1159
#34
20.30.5
11.612.2
Auto6.5
Teleop8.6
End5.2
Third
1452
#23
17.72.1
10.212.3
Auto6.1
Teleop7.1
End4.5
blue by 1.4
8898
#38
19.10.9
19.420.3
Auto7.0
Teleop7.6
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
11%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsEarned