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Red89
70223.9
151527.3
347334.0
Blue102
412342.0
114840.5
496416.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions758520406010012014089102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3473
#19
34.01.2
27.128.3
Auto9.7
Teleop18.7
End5.6
blue by 8.0
42.00.9
31.332.2
Auto15.9
Teleop17.9
End8.2
Second
1515
#15
27.31.2
21.422.6
Auto6.1
Teleop13.7
End7.5
blue by 13.2
40.50.9
32.633.5
Auto12.3
Teleop18.7
End9.5
Third
702
#27
23.91.9
23.024.9
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End6.4
red by 7.1
4964
#35
16.81.5
14.616.1
Auto2.1
Teleop5.0
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned