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Red128
386331.2
519949.7
508930.0
Blue35
340817.9
585714.4
499919.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1145002040608010014016012835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.71.0
47.648.6
Auto11.2
Teleop28.9
End9.5
red by 30.6
4999
#42
19.12.7
18.015.3
Auto4.4
Teleop11.8
End2.9
Second
3863
#14
31.21.0
25.226.2
Auto6.8
Teleop17.2
End7.2
red by 13.3
3408
#30
17.92.7
20.517.8
Auto5.6
Teleop9.3
End2.9
Third
5089
#22
30.01.0
25.826.7
Auto10.3
Teleop13.0
End6.7
red by 15.7
5857
#32
14.41.6
16.114.5
Auto3.5
Teleop4.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned26%Activation oddsMissed