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Red111
802040.6
450124.3
114840.5
Blue74
271029.8
860016.1
723020.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9445020608012014016011174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.63.2
29.833.0
Auto11.3
Teleop21.5
End7.8
red by 10.8
2710
#16
29.81.0
25.926.9
Auto8.8
Teleop14.4
End6.6
Second
40.51.9
33.535.4
Auto12.3
Teleop18.7
End9.5
red by 20.5
7230
#24
20.01.0
13.814.8
Auto6.2
Teleop5.8
End8.0
Third
4501
#12
24.33.2
18.922.1
Auto3.7
Teleop15.0
End5.7
red by 8.2
8600
#41
16.11.7
9.110.8
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned22%Activation oddsEarned